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Interest Rate Hikes Send Mixed Signals To Real Estate Investors



D


ecember 20, 2005 -              are still down 80 percent from    
Successive interest rate        the peaks of 1990, but are        
increases by the Fed have       starting to make a come back.     
left everyone wondering what is       With interest rates at record     
going to happen next with Real        lows and Japan's economy showing  
Estate. Will the boom continue or     growth for four straight years,   
is this the beginning of a            commercial property prices have   
gradual slow down?                    actually increased this year for  
                                      the first time in 15 years.       
As Jim Jubak, writing in Jubak's                                        
Journal, points out, the effect       As a sign of their confidence in  
of steady increases will have a       the Japanese economy, American    
much broader impact than just on      International Group Inc., the     
those who have adjustable-rate        world's largest insurer, has      
mortgages or are locked in            begun negotiations for the        
because of bad credit ratings. He     purchase of a $3.4 billion office 
reports that many large mortgage      tower in downtown Tokyo.          
companies are now selling off                                           
riskier holdings to third and         **Builder Confidence Declines     
fourth parties -- parties             Slightly in US**                  
prepared to put their faith in                                          
the ever upward march of prices.      Builders of single-family homes   
But as Jubak says, "It's never a      across the US showed slightly     
good sign when the folks that         decreased confidence in the       
know an asset best are selling."      market going into December.       
                                      According to a recent survey of   
**Commercial Real Estate Prices       members, the National Association 
in Japan Show Increase**              of Home Builders/Wells Fargo      
                                      Housing market Index (HMI) showed 
Tokyo's commercial land prices        a slight decline from November.   



                                      Stronach, is being accused of     
The December index was down from      misusing the assets of MI         
61 to 57, with anything above 50      Developments, a publicly-traded   
indicating "good" sales               company that acts as the real     
conditions. Ratings are based on      estate wing of Magna              
total traffic, resistance to          International.                    
current pricing, interest rate                                          
concerns and several other            According to lawyers for          
factors. While December's number      Greenlight Capital, Inc., a 10%   
is still above 50, it is at its       owner of MI Developments,         
lowest point since April, 2003.       Stronach used "oppressive         
The national average was brought      conduct" to direct the resources  
down by a 33 reported for the         of MI Developments towards        
Midwest.                              propping up another of his        
                                      companies, Magna Entertainment    
**Magna owner misused influence       Corp. This third company runs     
according to minor shareholder**      several racetracks across North   
                                      America.                          
The founder of Magna                  

                              
International Inc, Frank              






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