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Real Estate The Boom Is Over



S


ales of existing homes          was beginning to slow under the   
fell a bigger-than-expected     impact of steadily rising         
2.7 percent in October, a       mortgage rates.                   
fresh sign that the red-hot                                             
housing market is cooling. The        The decline in sales pushed the   
decline would have been worse         number of unsold homes to 2.87    
without increased demand from         million, the highest level in     
displaced hurricane victims.          more than 19 years. It would take 
                                      4.9 months to deplete that        
Though prices rose at the fastest     inventory level at the current    
clip in more than a                   sales pace.                       
quarter-century, the number of                                          
unsold homes rose to the highest      The median, or midpoint, price of 
level in 19 years. Analysts           an existing home sold last month  
forecast that this backlog will       rose by 16.6 percent to $218,000, 
dampen future price gains.            compared with October 2004.       
                                                                        
The National Association of           Economists predicted the buildup  
Realtors reported Monday that         in unsold homes would help dampen 
sales of existing homes and           the surge in home prices that saw 
condominiums fell by 2.7 percent      69 cities report double-digit     
in October, more than double the      gains in prices this summer,      
1.1 percent decline analysts          compared with the third quarter   
expected.                             of 2004.                          
                                                                        
Economists said the latest            The sales slowdown was linked to  
report, which showed sales            the Federal Reserve's continued   
declines in all regions of the        campaign to boost interest rates  
country, appeared to be a signal      to combat the threat of higher    
that the booming housing market       inflation after the recent surge  



in energy prices.                     the biggest decline in six years. 
                                                                        
Most analysts believe housing                                           
will cool gradually to more           The 2.7 percent drop in sales of  
sustainable levels but will           existing homes would have been a  
escape the adverse consequences       larger 3.2 percent decline        
that occurred when the Internet       without a boost in activity from  
stock bubble burst in early 2000,     people relocating after           
wiping out trillions of dollars       hurricanes Katrina and Rita       
in paper wealth and helping to        devastated the Gulf Coast.        
push the economy into a                                                 
recession. But, many real estate      Sales surged by 83 percent in     
‘insiders' see thing quite          Baton Rouge, La.; 32 percent in   
diferently, and are forecasting a     Mobile, Ala., and 14 percent in   
much larger drop in real estate       Houston. This more than offset    
values because of the huge            sales declines of 42 percent in   
popularity of 100% interest only      New Orleans and 44 percent in     
loans used to both in the             Beaumont, Texas.                  
purchase and re-finance of homes                                        
over the past five years.             The 16.6 percent increase in the  
                                      median sales price was the        
The weakness in existing home         biggest year-over-year price      
sales in October followed an          increase since a 17.2 percent     
earlier report that construction      jump in July 1979. The backlog of 
of new homes and apartments fell      2.87 million unsold homes was the 
by 5.6 percent last month, the        highest since April 1986.         
biggest setback in seven months.                                        
Applications for new building         By region of the country,         
permits, a good sign of future        October's biggest sales decline   
activity, fell by 6.7 percent,        occurred in the Northeast, a drop 



of 7.4 percent. Sales were down       relocated                         
1.9 percent in the Midwest and                                          
1.2 percent in the West. Sales        Copyright 2005 Promotions         
were down 1.8 percent in the          Unlimited - All rights reserved   
South despite the big gains in        

                              
areas where displaced homeowners      






About the Author:

Bob Schwartz is a Certified Residential Specialist,San Diego real estate broker http://www.Brokerforyou.com . Bob's other sites are: San Diego downtown real estate: http://www.downtown-san-diego-real-estate.com & a free San Diego For Sale By Owner real estate website at http://www.san-diego-for-sale-by-owner.com

Source: www.isnare.com


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