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San Diego Housing Market The Hidden Time Bombs



N


othing down, variable           adjustable loans have             
interest rate, EZ               artificially low start rates for  
qualification, stated           the first year or two, interest   
income.                               only payment terms, and are       
                                      indexed to volatile interest rate 
These are the common lending          indexes. This is setting the      
terms that many believe have kept     stage for a huge decline in home  
our super-heated market going. As     values.                           
the stories of fast home                                                
appreciation proliferate, the         One local major lender recently   
desire to get into our local          stated that they had no fixed     
housing market by those who           rate purchase loans in process;   
hesitated in the past, have           all their new purchase loans were 
escalated.                            adjustable! Further, over 50% of  
                                      their new purchase loans were     
This is typical of any bull           zero down! Combine this with the  
market, be it the stock or            popular ‘stated income' loans   
housing market. The paradigm          and it's easy to see how these    
changes this time. There is a         policies have kept our market     
huge increase in zero down and        propped up. (A stated income loan 
adjustable rate loans being           basically means if the buyer has  
pushed on poor credit risk            good credit, the amount of their  
borrowers and first time buyers       stated income is NOT verified for 
(below market start/qualifying),      qualification purposes.)          
as well as move up buyers being                                         
induced to purchase homes that        While a huge housing value        
otherwise are far beyond normal       decline seems unnatural to many,  
qualifying loan guidelines!           this phenomenon was last seen     
                                      locally in the mid-90's! At that  
The majority of the new               time, an approximate 20% housing  



depreciation took many by             reconsider any new purchase.      
surprise. The easy loan practices     Purchasing one's first home is    
today, the double digit housing       not something one should try to   
appreciation of the past few          time or tie into projections on   
years, and irrational enthusiasm,     the local housing trend. Just be  
clearly signals another               cautious! Stay well within your   
approaching decline in the San        normal qualification ratios.      
Diego housing market!                 Except under certain conditions,  
                                      avoid E/Z qualification and       
How bad could such a decline be?      adjustable, zero down loans.      
A number of local lenders state       Start out modestly with a smaller 
that the majority of their loans      home or condominium that you can  
for the past few years were zero      easily afford.                    
down, adjustable loans. With the                                        
slow but steady rise in interest      No one can predict the future     
rates, San Diego could be facing      trend of any major market with    
a decline in housing values that      certainty. However, caution is    
could dim the 20% decline of the      advised in San Diego housing as   
mid-90's!                             the multitude sing the siren song 
                                      of never ending double digit      
By any measure, our local real        housing appreciation.             
estate market is more at risk                                           
than any time in recent memory.       Copyright 2005                    
                                      www.brokerforyou.com All rights   
Though housing bubbles may last       reserved.                         
far beyond anyone's expectations,     

                              
now may well be a time to             






About the Author:

Bob Schwartz,is a Certified Residential Specialist, real estate broker with http://www.Brokerforyou.com w/over 27 years of residential real estate experience. Bob's other sites are: http://www.downtown-san-diego-real-estate.com http://www.san-diego-for-sale-by-owner.com http://www.la-jolla-ca-del-mar-san-diego-real-estate-encinitas-california.us

Source: www.isnare.com


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