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Top 15 U s Cities With Likely Home Price Reductions



T


here has been a shift in        home price reductions in the next 
the risk of home price          two years. Five MSAs in           
reductions in the U.S.          California - Los Angeles, Santa   
towards Florida and California        Ana, Oakland, Sacramento and San  
and some areas of the southwest,      Diego in California, and four in  
according to the PMI Mortgage         Florida - Orlando, Fort           
Insurance Co.'s Summer 2007 U.S.      Lauderdale, Miami and Tampa,      
Market Risk Index. The index          feature among the top 11 that     
ranks the 50 largest metropolitan     face a home price decline of more 
statistical areas in the U.S.         than 50 %.                        
according to the risk of home                                           
price reduction in the next two       Home price appreciation rates     
years.                                have slowed in almost all the 50  
                                      largest MSAs. The number of MSAs  
On an average, the 50 MSAs scored     that saw a home appreciation in   
346, which is 34.6 % possibility      the double digits in the first    
that home prices will reduce in       quarter of 2007 has declined to   
the next two years. The PMI risk      five, way below last year's 26.   
index model has been updated this                                       
year with the inclusion of the        Markets which have had a history  
recent price volatility in the        of price volatility are more      
market. Also this year's index        likely to experience home price   
includes risk ranking where in        decline in the future, according  
MSAs with consistent                  to Mark F. Milner, PMI's Chief    
characteristics are grouped under     Risk Officer. Still with all      
the same rank. Thus we have           these going ons, it is not a bad  
Riverside, CA, Phoenix, AZ, Las       time to buy a home as a long term 
Vegas, NV, and West Palm Beach,       investment as long as buyers pick 
FL group ranked on the top of the     their mortgage package with care  
index having about 60 % chance of     and have realistic expectations   



of their properties appreciation.     2 Orlando-Kissimmee, FL – 563     
                                      2                                 
The following are the top 15          Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville 
metro areas that are likely to        , CA – 560                        
experience home price declines in     2 San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos,  
the next two years, with their        CA – 555                          
group ranks at the front, and         2 Fort Lauderdale-Pompano         
scores at the end.                    Beach-Deerfield Beach, FL – 542   
                                      2 Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall, FL – 
1 Riverside-San                       524                               
Bernardino-Ontario, CA – 652          2 Tampa-St.                       
1 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ –       Petersburg-Clearwater, FL – 506   
646                                   2 Boston-Quincy, MA – 501         
1 Las Vegas-Paradise, NV – 614        2                                 
1 West Palm Beach-Boca                Washington-Arlington-Alexandria,  
Raton-Boynton Beach, FL – 607         DC-VA-MC – 500                    
2 Los Angeles-Long                                                      
Beach-Glendale, CA – 586              Be sure to contact a local        
2 Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine, CA –      Realtor if you are thinking about 
577                                   buying or selling a home, condo,  
2 Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA –       or any other real estate.         
572                                   

                              




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San Diego Condos Carmel Valley Real Estate Point Loma Real Estate


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